Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.001424 0.001517 0.001612 0.001717 0.001831 0.001950 0.002085
2024-10-13 0.001298 0.001425 0.001560 0.001716 0.001891 0.002081 0.002305
2024-10-20 0.001183 0.001329 0.001490 0.001681 0.001901 0.002148 0.002449
2024-10-27 0.001109 0.001271 0.001454 0.001675 0.001938 0.002242 0.002621
2024-11-03 0.001019 0.001187 0.001380 0.001619 0.001909 0.002251 0.002690
2024-11-10 0.000980 0.001159 0.001369 0.001633 0.001961 0.002358 0.002877
2024-11-17 0.000931 0.001116 0.001336 0.001618 0.001975 0.002414 0.003002
2024-11-24 0.000902 0.001095 0.001328 0.001633 0.002024 0.002515 0.003187
2024-12-01 0.000856 0.001051 0.001289 0.001604 0.002016 0.002541 0.003273
2024-12-08 0.000821 0.001018 0.001262 0.001589 0.002023 0.002586 0.003386
2024-12-15 0.000790 0.000989 0.001239 0.001578 0.002034 0.002635 0.003503
2024-12-22 0.000766 0.000968 0.001224 0.001577 0.002058 0.002702 0.003646
2024-12-29 0.000735 0.000938 0.001200 0.001565 0.002070 0.002758 0.003787
2025-01-05 0.000710 0.000917 0.001185 0.001565 0.002099 0.002839 0.003968
2025-01-12 0.000676 0.000880 0.001149 0.001534 0.002083 0.002854 0.004052
2025-01-19 0.000654 0.000859 0.001132 0.001529 0.002103 0.002922 0.004218
2025-01-26 0.000617 0.000817 0.001085 0.001479 0.002055 0.002888 0.004225
2025-02-02 0.000604 0.000807 0.001083 0.001492 0.002099 0.002991 0.004450
2025-02-09 0.000583 0.000786 0.001062 0.001478 0.002102 0.003033 0.004579
2025-02-16 0.000573 0.000777 0.001061 0.001491 0.002146 0.003138 0.004815
2025-02-23 0.000550 0.000752 0.001034 0.001465 0.002130 0.003148 0.004895
2025-03-02 0.000533 0.000733 0.001015 0.001452 0.002132 0.003186 0.005023
2025-03-09 0.000517 0.000717 0.001000 0.001442 0.002138 0.003231 0.005163